Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1.849146 2.115704 2.407472 2.750604 3.143213 3.578563 4.098168
2024-12-22 1.433368 1.791519 2.219375 2.768490 3.455201 4.286589 5.371195
2024-12-29 1.212253 1.608439 2.110570 2.794330 3.702605 4.869865 6.487752
2025-01-05 1.026390 1.430279 1.967643 2.735904 3.808386 5.256137 7.365680
2025-01-12 0.883839 1.285077 1.841853 2.672230 3.882501 5.587567 8.182532
2025-01-19 0.764748 1.154926 1.717091 2.587813 3.906831 5.837596 8.892994
2025-01-26 0.733255 1.146840 1.763772 2.753304 4.306784 6.662725 10.528219
2025-02-02 0.705676 1.140114 1.809335 2.918110 4.717442 7.537476 12.322624
2025-02-09 0.670982 1.117411 1.826068 3.036307 5.062113 8.336312 14.069813
2025-02-16 0.626483 1.073416 1.803166 3.085445 5.295312 8.971928 15.603884
2025-02-23 0.568160 0.999918 1.723867 3.030572 5.345288 9.302986 16.644692
2025-03-02 0.523258 0.944746 1.669621 3.012002 5.453205 9.737631 17.901297
2025-03-09 0.487263 0.902866 1.636239 3.030187 5.633701 10.325849 19.513351
2025-03-16 0.453341 0.861508 1.600042 3.039917 5.800138 10.905262 21.171109
2025-03-23 0.425713 0.828886 1.576169 3.069131 6.003703 11.568317 23.048824
2025-03-30 0.388927 0.775021 1.507296 3.004835 6.019729 11.874609 24.254140
2025-04-06 0.355337 0.724089 1.439161 2.934840 6.016404 12.140166 25.399070
2025-04-13 0.322641 0.671786 1.363473 2.842039 5.957086 12.286591 26.308782
2025-04-20 0.321838 0.684740 1.419252 3.023968 6.481307 13.664825 29.949555
2025-04-27 0.320379 0.696084 1.472515 3.205154 7.020266 15.121145 33.901808
2025-05-04 0.313730 0.695612 1.500872 3.335106 7.459984 16.404800 37.597604
2025-05-11 0.300651 0.679804 1.495019 3.389131 7.736379 17.357128 40.635848
2025-05-18 0.279104 0.643085 1.440458 3.328800 7.748656 17.723499 42.352864